Allan Weatherall

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The American led invasion of Iraq in March 2003 deepened the already existing division between the Middle-East and the West, divided America from long-time political allies, and even divided America itself. It even divided Christians. Three years down the track as the American military body count surpasses the number of victims of 9/11, more sober minds are evaluating what the real cost of the war has been.

In October 2006 the Washington Post published the results of a study estimating the number of deaths in Iraq since the war began. The number is staggering. The study revealed that 655,000 more people have died in Iraq since coalition forces arrived in March 2003 than would have died if the invasion had not occurred. This figure is not the total body count of the conflict, but focuses on what could be termed as 'excessive deaths'. ie: Non-combatant civilian deaths resulting from 'collateral damage' during the war and the instability which followed as result of the failure of the invading forces to establish law, order and the repair of essential services. Unlike other death-toll estimates, this estimate used a scientific method called "cluster sampling" and compared official death rates before the war with death rates since. While acknowledging that the estimate is large, the researchers believe it is sound for numerous reasons, and the great majority of deaths were also substantiated by death certificates.